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26 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.1%
Gateshead
22.3%
Draw
55.6%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Gateshead

vs
2.12

Solihull

Markets

BTTS64.6%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.8%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.2%
2-3
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
1-4
3.6%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).