Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Freiburg
23.6%
Draw
46.1%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Freiburg
vs
1.90
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS67.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
0-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).