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AHT: 02CSV

02 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.1%
Norwich
22.3%
Draw
66.6%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Norwich

vs
2.05

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.0%
0-1
11.4%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.8%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
0-4
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
1-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).