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22 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.2%
Kristiansund
23.3%
Draw
14.5%
Hoddesdon Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Kristiansund

vs
0.67

Hoddesdon Town

Markets

BTTS39.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.1%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
10.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
7.6%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).