Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Auxerre
21.6%
Draw
18.3%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Auxerre
vs
0.82
Red Star
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).