Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Cheltenham
22.5%
Draw
57.3%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Cheltenham
vs
1.75
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.5%
1-1
10.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).