Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.7%
Benevento
18.0%
Draw
71.3%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Benevento
vs
2.14
Roma
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.6%
0-1
12.9%
0-3
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
2-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).