Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Albacete
27.6%
Draw
21.0%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Albacete
vs
0.76
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).