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01 Nov 2021 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.9%
Parma
22.1%
Draw
12.0%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

Parma

vs
0.74

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.9%
1-0
12.0%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).