Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Accrington
22.1%
Draw
53.1%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Accrington
vs
1.70
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.6%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).