Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Lens
26.0%
Draw
26.2%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Lens
vs
0.89
Clermont
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).