Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
QPR
28.4%
Draw
39.8%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
QPR
vs
1.38
Millwall
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).