Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Torquay
28.4%
Draw
42.6%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Torquay
vs
1.42
Southend
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).