Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Kilmarnock
26.5%
Draw
25.5%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Kilmarnock
vs
1.10
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).