Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Ajaccio
31.9%
Draw
52.0%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
Ajaccio
vs
1.10
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS24.0%
Over 0.579.5%
Over 1.545.5%
Over 2.520.6%
Over 3.57.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
23.7%
0-0
20.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
5.8%
0-3
4.6%
2-1
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-2
1.3%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).