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17 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.9%
Stockport
21.6%
Draw
17.5%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Stockport

vs
0.78

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.0%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).