Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Boavista
28.3%
Draw
31.5%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Boavista
vs
0.98
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).