Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Hamburg
25.5%
Draw
56.0%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Hamburg
vs
1.71
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).