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DHT: 11CSV

15 Nov 2025 · 15:03

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Hartlepool
28.9%
Draw
24.2%
Wealdstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Hartlepool

vs
0.96

Wealdstone

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).