Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Crotone
30.1%
Draw
30.2%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Crotone
vs
1.10
Brescia
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).