Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Vizela
25.0%
Draw
26.3%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Vizela
vs
1.01
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).