Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Bournemouth
24.7%
Draw
21.0%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Bournemouth
vs
1.16
West Ham
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).