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AHT: 02CSV

28 Feb 2025 · 19:30

Eibar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.7%
Cartagena
27.7%
Draw
51.6%
Eibar

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Cartagena

vs
1.36

Eibar

Markets

BTTS39.1%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
12.0%
0-2
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).