Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Watford
26.9%
Draw
19.6%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Watford
vs
0.88
Reading
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).