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DHT: 11CSV

21 Oct 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.0%
Wealdstone
22.9%
Draw
55.1%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Wealdstone

vs
2.04

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS62.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
1-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).