Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Karlsruhe
24.6%
Draw
47.6%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Karlsruhe
vs
1.85
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.0%
1-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).