Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Crystal Palace
31.5%
Draw
34.3%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Crystal Palace
vs
1.19
Brighton
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).