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16 Aug 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.3%
Deportivo Alavés
28.1%
Draw
25.6%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Deportivo Alavés

vs
0.94

Levante

Markets

BTTS45.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).