Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
21.1%
Draw
63.4%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Borussia Mönchengladbach
vs
2.15
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.1%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.7%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).