Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Sporting Gijón
26.9%
Draw
35.2%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Sporting Gijón
vs
1.21
Granada
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).