Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
Zaragoza
23.6%
Draw
52.8%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Zaragoza
vs
1.72
Castellon
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).