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AHT: 00CSV

21 Feb 2020 · 19:30

Genk

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.7%
Kortrijk
24.4%
Draw
49.8%
Genk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Kortrijk

vs
1.79

Genk

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).