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DHT: 20CSV

20 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.4%
Bromley
27.2%
Draw
19.4%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Bromley

vs
0.86

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-0
10.9%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).