Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.4%
Bristol Rvs
19.2%
Draw
64.4%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.99
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
0-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).