Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.8%
Bari
30.7%
Draw
33.5%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Bari
vs
1.14
Spezia
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).