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DHT: 01CSV

27 Oct 2021 · 19:30

Monza

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.8%
Vicenza
27.7%
Draw
52.5%
Monza

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Vicenza

vs
1.57

Monza

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.4%
0-2
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.4%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).