Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.0%
Porto
16.3%
Draw
6.7%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Porto
vs
0.43
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS30.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.5%
1-0
16.9%
3-0
12.3%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.6%
1-1
6.9%
4-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.7%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).