Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.2%
Las Palmas
20.6%
Draw
12.2%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Las Palmas
vs
0.73
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).