Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.2%
Harrogate
26.6%
Draw
50.2%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Harrogate
vs
1.38
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
10.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).