Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Amorebieta
23.3%
Draw
53.0%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Amorebieta
vs
1.75
Almeria
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).