Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Basel
29.6%
Draw
33.5%
St. Gallen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Basel
vs
1.35
St. Gallen
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).