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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.6%
Ramsgate
12.1%
Draw
8.3%
Southall

Expected Goals (xG)

3.03

Ramsgate

vs
0.92

Southall

Markets

BTTS57.1%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.575.5%
Over 3.555.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
6.8%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
1-1
5.2%
5-0
4.1%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).