Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.7%
Besiktas
13.9%
Draw
3.4%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.81
Besiktas
vs
0.54
Yeni Malatyaspor
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-0
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
6.7%
5-0
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).