Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.6%
Stockport
13.9%
Draw
9.5%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Stockport
vs
0.85
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.547.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
6.4%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
5-0
3.4%
3-2
3.4%
5-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).