Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Ebbsfleet
26.7%
Draw
45.4%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Ebbsfleet
vs
1.59
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).