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HHT: 20CSV

17 Oct 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.9%
Torquay
22.3%
Draw
15.8%
Dover Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Torquay

vs
0.94

Dover Athletic

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).