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AHT: 04CSV

18 Mar 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Dumbarton
28.0%
Draw
45.7%
Albion Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Dumbarton

vs
1.69

Albion Rvs

Markets

BTTS60.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
4.6%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).