Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Doncaster
23.1%
Draw
37.5%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Doncaster
vs
1.51
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).