⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 12

23 Nov 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
52.3%
Sturm Graz
25.3%
Draw
22.5%
LASK Linz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Sturm Graz

vs
1.08

LASK Linz

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).