Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Zaragoza
28.2%
Draw
36.5%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Zaragoza
vs
1.16
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).